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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 09:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.0K−$6.7K$14K
Holders335+83252
Trades2.2K+1972.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.3%
−8.7 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI-4.8%
−4.9 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.88
+20.29×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.53
+18.91×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.5K
−$3.4K
$9.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.8%
−156.8 pp
62.1%
Underwater %97.2%
+97.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.0%
−13.1 pp
58.1%
Bot %49.4%
−14.0 pp
63.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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