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Will Aleksandra Goryachkina win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?

data as of 2026-04-11 16:02 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$369−$42K$42K
Holders25−328
Trades263+128135
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.8%
−40.2 pp
82.0%
Avg ROI24.2%
+22.8 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.91
+0.92×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.04
+1.06×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$156
$163
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.15
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-53.7%
−56.1 pp
2.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+78.7 pp
21.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.4%
−51.3 pp
64.7%
Bot %9.4%
−55.3 pp
64.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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