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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 14?

data as of 2026-02-14 15:40 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$479−$9.8K$10K
Holders132+31101
Trades1.1K+478648
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.5%
−34.8 pp
79.3%
Avg ROI14.2%
+12.1 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.02×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.80
+2.83×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
+$20
−$20
Recent buyer dominance0.45
+0.05
0.40
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.9%
−83.9 pp
3.9%
Underwater %94.0%
+94.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.0%
−3.2 pp
16.2%
Bot %14.1%
−2.0 pp
16.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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