Markets › detail

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

data as of 2026-05-13 11:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$185−$14K$14K
Holders61+1249
Trades765−58823
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.1%
−34.5 pp
68.6%
Avg ROI24.0%
+23.4 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−0.41×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.92
−0.08×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$47
−$1.2K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.0%
+4.3 pp
-0.2%
Underwater %27.5%
−51.8 pp
79.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.5%
+21.1 pp
11.3%
Bot %32.5%
+21.1 pp
11.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse