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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

data as of 2026-01-25 19:57 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$15K−$45K$60K
Holders376+108268
Trades5.4K−3005.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.3%
−9.7 pp
55.0%
Avg ROI10.6%
+9.2 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.03
+8.20×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.22
+9.40×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
−$749
$3.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.37
0.54
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.2%
−112.8 pp
22.6%
Underwater %98.1%
+98.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.3%
−9.2 pp
79.5%
Bot %72.0%
−6.7 pp
78.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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