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Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

data as of 2026-03-31 23:15 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$55K+$34K$21K
Holders373+59314
Trades3.6K+943.5K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.2%
+18.6 pp
42.6%
Avg ROI14.4%
+6.1 pp
8.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.87
−134.96×
×135.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−157.82×
×158.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.9K
+$1.9K
$9
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.17
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.2%
+133.6 pp
-99.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.4%
−22.4 pp
28.7%
Bot %6.3%
−22.7 pp
29.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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