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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 22:25 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K−$9.8K$32K
Holders515−29544
Trades6.7K−1.1K7.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−0.8 pp
49.2%
Avg ROI11.8%
+7.6 pp
4.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.30
−60.06×
×60.36
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.33
−55.15×
×55.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.9K
−$16.4K
$26.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.11
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL214.3%
+312.5 pp
-98.2%
Underwater %0.2%
−98.3 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.8%
−2.9 pp
67.7%
Bot %63.3%
−2.7 pp
66.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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