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Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?

data as of 2025-10-17 14:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$60K−$74K$134K
Holders107+2087
Trades1.1K−1.5K2.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.0%
−12.2 pp
68.2%
Avg ROI0.8%
+2.9 pp
-2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×31.30
+30.61×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.39
+25.66×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$16
−$1.3K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.95
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.1%
−145.0 pp
48.9%
Underwater %98.5%
+97.2 pp
1.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.9%
−2.6 pp
30.5%
Bot %27.9%
−2.6 pp
30.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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