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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-18 22:15 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K+$16K$13K
Holders303−109412
Trades3.2K−213.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate72.5%
+23.6 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI2.1%
−6.5 pp
8.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−4.14×
×4.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.82
−3.73×
×4.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.5K
+$9.3K
$11.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.01
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.2%
+109.4 pp
-77.1%
Underwater %33.3%
−49.2 pp
82.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.4%
−12.3 pp
49.7%
Bot %48.5%
−13.6 pp
62.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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