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Will James Webb finish 2nd at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest?

data as of 2026-06-30 23:12 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
7¢
NO
91¢
YES
7¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5−$60$65
Holders1−12
Trades1−12
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.7%
+15.6 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI12.3%
+15.6 pp
-3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.03×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.02×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$60
$65
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+2.3 pp
-2.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−71.4 pp
71.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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