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Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

data as of 2026-05-26 14:06 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$15M+$15M$81K
Holders538+89449
Trades19K+8.3K11K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate83.8%
+31.2 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI1.5%
−28.8 pp
30.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.40×
×1.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−1.81×
×2.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2.9K
−$4.4K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.08
−0.92
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.9%
+78.1 pp
-74.2%
Underwater %45.1%
−34.5 pp
79.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.2%
−4.8 pp
9.0%
Bot %4.4%
−3.9 pp
8.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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