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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 15?

data as of 2026-07-13 22:16 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 15, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
32¢
NO
68¢
YES
32¢
YesY-NNo
Position$206−$316$522
Holders30−1040
Trades118−33151
NO
68¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.1%
−21.5 pp
65.6%
Avg ROI11.5%
−1.4 pp
12.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.01×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.91
−0.16×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$34
−$40
$74
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL13.8%
+19.8 pp
-6.0%
Underwater %47.2%
−11.9 pp
59.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.1%
+3.8 pp
3.3%
Bot %21.7%
+6.7 pp
15.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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