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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 07:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$5.5K$20K
Holders306−127433
Trades2.6K+2192.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−7.3 pp
54.5%
Avg ROI8.2%
+6.2 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.73
+15.97×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.38
+18.61×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.0K
−$3.5K
$17.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.09
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.1%
−132.0 pp
37.8%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.2%
−18.9 pp
35.1%
Bot %27.6%
−20.8 pp
48.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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