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Will the 1st pick in the 2026 NFL draft be traded?

data as of 2025-12-23 05:39 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Apr 23, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
1¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$61+$51$10
Holders24+222
Trades129+1236
NO
1¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate65.5%
+62.1 pp
3.4%
Avg ROI0.8%
−51.3 pp
52.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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