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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 12:03 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.4K−$12K$22K
Holders319−36355
Trades2.4K+2572.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−0.6 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI0.1%
+1.4 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.51
+10.83×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.78
+11.11×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.5K
−$12.7K
$20.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.03
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.4%
−139.6 pp
48.2%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.5%
−0.8 pp
37.3%
Bot %45.0%
−4.1 pp
49.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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