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Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,100 on the final trading day of March 2026?

data as of 2026-03-25 18:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$61+$46$15
Holders14+131
Trades38+317
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
+54.7 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI0.1%
+0.1 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.00
+42.00×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.28
+34.28×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
+$165
−$166
Recent buyer dominance0.00
+0.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.4%
−95.4 pp
0.0%
Underwater %81.9%
+81.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.1%
+15.1 pp
0.0%
Bot %15.1%
+15.1 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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