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Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by July 31?

data as of 2026-07-01 03:41 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Aug 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
11¢
NO
87¢
YES
11¢
YesY-NNo
Position$442+$345$97
Holders17+143
Trades27+1512
NO
87¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.6%
+4.7 pp
34.9%
Avg ROI-2.4%
−5.8 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.55
+2.54×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.56
+2.56×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2
−$177
$175
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-71.9%
−71.1 pp
-0.8%
Underwater %100.0%
−0.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.3%
+25.3 pp
0.0%
Bot %25.3%
−54.6 pp
79.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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