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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

data as of 2026-06-12 20:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.9K−$23K$28K
Holders346−9355
Trades2.1K+1861.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
−3.2 pp
52.7%
Avg ROI1.0%
−0.0 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.74
+4.88×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.94
+7.11×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.6K
−$11.5K
$16.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.7%
−110.6 pp
22.8%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.5%
+6.1 pp
58.3%
Bot %73.0%
−3.7 pp
76.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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