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Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?

data as of 2026-05-01 20:35 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.3K+$2.2K$128
Holders12−618
Trades37−1148
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.0%
+25.9 pp
32.1%
Avg ROI18.0%
+18.1 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.45
−9.71×
×10.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.44
−6.84×
×7.28
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$6
−$92
$86
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL123.0%
+209.2 pp
-86.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.3 pp
96.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.7%
−33.8 pp
34.5%
Bot %0.7%
−33.8 pp
34.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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