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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-21 08:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$16K$9.9K
Holders238−107345
Trades2.5K−8583.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+11.1 pp
41.4%
Avg ROI0.6%
−0.7 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−27.48×
×28.21
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−26.26×
×26.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.8K
+$6.4K
$9.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL41.5%
+137.9 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.6 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.4%
+8.8 pp
74.6%
Bot %83.3%
+8.9 pp
74.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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