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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

data as of 2026-04-26 08:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.0K−$15K$23K
Holders326+88238
Trades3.1K+6942.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.4%
−11.1 pp
58.5%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−0.9 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.55
+13.78×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.47
+12.69×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.4K
−$9.3K
$16.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−122.2 pp
29.7%
Underwater %99.5%
+98.5 pp
0.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.5%
−13.7 pp
82.2%
Bot %68.8%
−13.9 pp
82.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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