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XRP Up or Down - April 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

data as of 2026-04-21 20:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$215−$120$334
Holders55+3124
Trades181+8695
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.2%
−12.7 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI1.6%
+2.8 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.33×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.05
+17.38×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$111
−$148
$259
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.05
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−141.9 pp
47.4%
Underwater %71.5%
+71.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.4%
−14.2 pp
62.6%
Bot %52.0%
−17.3 pp
69.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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