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Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 6AM ET

data as of 2026-01-21 11:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K−$251K$290K
Holders90−40130
Trades1.2K−2491.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
−12.9 pp
67.9%
Avg ROI-4.0%
−1.8 pp
-2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×48.97
+48.46×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$616
−$1.4K
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.14
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−194.4 pp
96.4%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.8%
+18.6 pp
4.2%
Bot %22.6%
+19.8 pp
2.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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