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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

data as of 2026-01-19 13:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$20K$31K
Holders397+150247
Trades4.4K+1764.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.4%
−17.8 pp
57.2%
Avg ROI4.9%
−6.6 pp
11.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.52
+17.75×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.66
+20.87×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.5K
−$4.4K
$6.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.80
+0.11
0.68
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.9%
−124.9 pp
30.0%
Underwater %87.4%
+87.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.6%
−20.8 pp
75.4%
Bot %52.5%
−21.4 pp
73.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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