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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11PM ET

data as of 2026-02-11 04:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$13K$33K
Holders196+62134
Trades3.6K+2753.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.1%
−4.9 pp
60.9%
Avg ROI15.6%
+5.5 pp
10.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.33
+36.63×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.98
+34.28×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2
+$8.3K
−$8.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.49
+0.30
0.18
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−154.6 pp
57.5%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.3%
−30.1 pp
79.3%
Bot %49.2%
−30.1 pp
79.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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