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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 7?

data as of 2026-07-05 04:13 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 7, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$23$23
Holders2+11
Trades2+11
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate76.3%
−14.0 pp
90.3%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−0.8 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$23
$23
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.0%
+13.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %13.0%
+13.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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