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Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-27 22:17 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$97$99
Holders4+31
Trades4+31
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.9%
−67.8 pp
94.7%
Avg ROI15.1%
−79.6 pp
94.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.30
+0.30×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$97
$99
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-23.1%
−23.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %30.0%
+30.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.0%
+40.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %40.0%
+40.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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