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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2025-11-04 19:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.8K−$2.3K$4.1K
Holders87+2859
Trades589+144445
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.8%
−12.2 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI11.7%
+10.5 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.50
+13.76×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.44
+18.68×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$106
−$773
$879
Recent buyer dominance0.67
−0.16
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.8%
−129.6 pp
34.9%
Underwater %93.7%
+93.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.5%
−20.5 pp
46.0%
Bot %29.7%
−32.4 pp
62.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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