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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 06:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$3.5K$14K
Holders232−83315
Trades2.2K−1592.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
+0.8 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI2.2%
−0.4 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−7.70×
×8.23
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.52
−8.28×
×8.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.9K
−$3.8K
$13.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.07
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL90.5%
+178.6 pp
-88.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.0%
+6.8 pp
41.2%
Bot %70.6%
+10.3 pp
60.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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