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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 20:53 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$4.2K$18K
Holders266−103369
Trades2.1K−4262.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
−0.3 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI0.9%
−1.0 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.55
−12.75×
×13.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−13.47×
×14.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.6K
−$4.7K
$17.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL84.4%
+176.6 pp
-92.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.6 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.5%
+4.8 pp
40.6%
Bot %59.6%
+6.2 pp
53.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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