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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on March 24?

data as of 2026-03-24 20:49 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$58−$2.4K$2.4K
Holders34−3064
Trades239+48191
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.1%
−51.6 pp
88.7%
Avg ROI16.3%
+17.0 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.82
+10.83×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.07
+12.09×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$403
$406
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.8%
−94.8 pp
2.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.8%
+6.2 pp
22.6%
Bot %28.8%
+10.9 pp
17.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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