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Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-16 15:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.1K+$993$1.1K
Holders24−1539
Trades153+21132
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+9.7 pp
43.9%
Avg ROI1.5%
−2.8 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.85
−3.90×
×4.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−4.52×
×5.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$88
+$88
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.8%
+96.3 pp
-81.5%
Underwater %4.3%
−95.7 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.0%
−58.0 pp
63.0%
Bot %0.0%
−61.8 pp
61.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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