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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

data as of 2026-02-13 02:05 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$26K$11K
Holders261+12249
Trades2.9K−2173.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate71.0%
+33.4 pp
37.6%
Avg ROI9.2%
+5.5 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−37.82×
×38.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−34.41×
×35.20
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30.7K
+$20.2K
$10.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.04
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.4%
+134.2 pp
-96.8%
Underwater %9.4%
−84.9 pp
94.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.4%
−2.6 pp
47.0%
Bot %44.3%
−2.7 pp
47.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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