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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 09:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.4K+$1.1K$7.3K
Holders259+24235
Trades2.1K+2171.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−3.0 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI2.8%
+1.0 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.50
+21.97×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.61
+20.12×
×0.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.3K
+$1.3K
$6.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−199.4 pp
103.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.7%
−4.5 pp
47.2%
Bot %52.0%
−5.3 pp
57.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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