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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-21 16:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$9.7K$4.6K
Holders155−3158
Trades1.5K−631.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
+1.3 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI0.0%
−0.2 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−19.97×
×20.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−18.15×
×18.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.7K
+$2.7K
$992
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL57.2%
+152.0 pp
-94.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.0%
+2.3 pp
59.7%
Bot %75.6%
−2.5 pp
78.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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