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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 03:05 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K−$4.3K$26K
Holders432+5427
Trades3.7K−2474.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.9%
+1.1 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI1.6%
−2.6 pp
4.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−25.96×
×26.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−22.51×
×23.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.3K
−$6.1K
$25.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL89.0%
+185.1 pp
-96.1%
Underwater %0.3%
−99.4 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.5%
−4.6 pp
37.1%
Bot %39.8%
−2.0 pp
41.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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