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Will António José Seguro win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?

data as of 2026-01-13 20:16 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$87−$2.2K$2.3K
Holders38−240
Trades224+39185
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−37.0 pp
83.2%
Avg ROI22.9%
+13.3 pp
9.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.60
+26.68×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.02
+18.09×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$199
$199
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.6%
−101.5 pp
6.9%
Underwater %96.1%
+95.3 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.3%
−64.6 pp
80.9%
Bot %16.3%
−65.6 pp
81.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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