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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-24 20:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K−$12K$15K
Holders265−9274
Trades1.5K+241.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.0%
−5.1 pp
52.2%
Avg ROI0.1%
−0.3 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.16
+6.38×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.50
+6.77×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.7K
−$10.5K
$14.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.4%
−120.4 pp
33.0%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.5%
+1.0 pp
43.5%
Bot %58.1%
−9.4 pp
67.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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