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Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 46.5% on March 7?

data as of 2025-03-05 22:03 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$20K$21K
Holders59−266325
Trades584−63647
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.1%
−22.9 pp
64.0%
Avg ROI-11.1%
−12.3 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.79
+1.86×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.30
+2.39×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$156
$163
Recent buyer dominance0.70
−0.14
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.2%
−77.5 pp
9.3%
Underwater %78.3%
+66.4 pp
11.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.3%
−9.9 pp
25.3%
Bot %11.0%
−13.5 pp
24.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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