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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-24 07:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.8K−$14K$18K
Holders301+16285
Trades1.7K+3471.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
−2.2 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−1.9 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.00
+7.25×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.27
+5.54×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.4K
−$7.7K
$11.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.9%
−123.9 pp
37.0%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.8%
−4.8 pp
34.6%
Bot %59.0%
−7.0 pp
66.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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