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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

data as of 2026-06-30 17:18 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$9.0K$8.2K
Holders259−38297
Trades1.6K−5402.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.9%
+0.3 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−1.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−9.73×
×10.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−9.04×
×9.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.9K
+$9.8K
$7.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL36.4%
+126.4 pp
-90.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.3%
+2.4 pp
56.9%
Bot %62.0%
+0.1 pp
61.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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