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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

data as of 2025-10-03 22:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.4K+$780$610
Holders6−713
Trades80−1090
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate69.3%
+44.4 pp
24.9%
Avg ROI-2.2%
−17.7 pp
15.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−0.46×
×1.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−0.56×
×1.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$433
+$227
$206
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL13.4%
+43.8 pp
-30.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−90.5 pp
90.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.9%
+16.5 pp
70.3%
Bot %86.9%
+16.5 pp
70.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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