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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on December 16?

data as of 2025-12-17 00:18 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$66−$1.1K$1.2K
Holders12−315
Trades49+1039
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.5%
−55.7 pp
91.1%
Avg ROI160.6%
+161.0 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.16
−1.03×
×1.19
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.32
−0.84×
×1.17
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$31
$38
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.03
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL209.6%
+223.8 pp
-14.2%
Underwater %12.1%
−79.0 pp
91.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−1.4 pp
1.4%
Bot %0.4%
−8.2 pp
8.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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