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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10PM ET

data as of 2026-03-09 02:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$48K+$36K$12K
Holders186+20166
Trades2.3K−8223.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.8%
+13.0 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI0.3%
+0.6 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−38.13×
×38.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−34.97×
×35.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.7K
+$1.6K
$76
Recent buyer dominance0.75
−0.17
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL60.9%
+158.1 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %0.3%
−99.6 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.3%
−8.1 pp
84.5%
Bot %76.3%
−8.0 pp
84.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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