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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

data as of 2026-02-12 18:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$18K$35K
Holders336+66270
Trades3.1K−893.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.9%
−23.9 pp
54.8%
Avg ROI3.5%
+9.1 pp
-5.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.00
+39.41×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.76
+36.15×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.0K
−$4.4K
$21.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.11
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−164.1 pp
67.0%
Underwater %92.9%
+92.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.3%
−15.1 pp
76.4%
Bot %56.8%
−16.2 pp
73.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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