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Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

data as of 2026-05-31 15:03 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.7K−$97K$100K
Holders107−35142
Trades1.9K−311.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.9%
−17.3 pp
71.1%
Avg ROI6.2%
−2.1 pp
8.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.53
−37.47×
×45.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.49
−33.28×
×40.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$4.7K
−$12.8K
$8.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.5%
+10.1 pp
-97.6%
Underwater %98.8%
−1.1 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.4%
−6.5 pp
12.9%
Bot %6.8%
−8.5 pp
15.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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