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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 02:05 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$13K$27K
Holders488+65423
Trades4.2K−344.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−6.7 pp
54.5%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×36.72
+36.06×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×33.81
+33.11×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.5K
−$9.7K
$23.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.07
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−146.0 pp
48.9%
Underwater %95.2%
+95.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.6%
+6.4 pp
27.2%
Bot %53.6%
+0.7 pp
52.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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