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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 12:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.9K+$2.5K$2.4K
Holders93−20113
Trades684−208892
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.5%
+1.5 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI1.9%
−1.1 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−7.71×
×8.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−8.22×
×8.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$992
+$617
$375
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL40.4%
+129.6 pp
-89.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.6 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.8%
+0.8 pp
49.1%
Bot %59.0%
+5.5 pp
53.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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