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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 18:23 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.2K−$7.8K$11K
Holders123+2895
Trades948+236712
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
−14.5 pp
55.3%
Avg ROI3.4%
−0.8 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.00
+15.12×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.65
+12.80×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$238
−$5.1K
$5.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.1%
−111.5 pp
18.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.0%
−19.2 pp
64.2%
Bot %46.0%
−24.9 pp
70.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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