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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-22 16:27 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.7K−$16K$26K
Holders311+23288
Trades3.5K+2753.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−3.6 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI-1.8%
−1.7 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×29.95
+29.22×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.50
+28.78×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.2K
−$7.7K
$9.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−135.3 pp
38.7%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.9%
+0.4 pp
73.5%
Bot %74.6%
+1.1 pp
73.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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